The Des Moines Register reports that 23 percent of Iowans likely to attend the caucuses list Howard Dean as their first choice. Gephardt comes in second with 21 percent, and Kerry in third with 14 percent. With a margin of error of 4.9 points, these results could easily mean that Dean leads Gephardt by 12 points, or Dean trails Gephardt by 8 points. However, the article also reports that “Among Iowans polled who say they definitely will attend the Democratic caucuses, … Dean’s lead grows to 10 points over Gephardt.” (emphasis mine)
“Recent polls in New Hampshire showed Dean and Kerry running neck and neck. A Field Poll of Californians taken last month showed Dean with a slight lead over Kerry and Lieberman.”
Most importantly, the results of these polls show an amazing upward trend for the Dean campaign, which garnered only 6% of Iowans’ support just 3 months ago.
Another sign of strength for the campaign is the surge in numbers of people signed up for the Dean campaign’s mailing list: 255,000. Just 3 days ago the number stood at 225,000.
With the next Dean MeetUp only 2 days away, the number of people signed up for the MeetUp is 71,890. This is an increase of nearly 3,000 people over the past 3 days.
I strongly believe that the way to combat the organizational and financial power of the Republican party is to mobilize people and expand the voting base; 5 months before the first primary, the Dean campaign is doing just that.
See you at MeetUp!
Posted on August 4th, 2003 § 0 comments