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January 28, 2004

Why we can win

The AP has this story on New Hampshire:

Voter Turnout Sets N.H. Dem Record

More than 208,000 Democratic ballots were cast, shattering the mark of 170,000 set in 1992, when Paul Tsongas beat Bill Clinton.

Turnout in the Iowa caucuses was double the turnout in 2000.

Both of these are indicators of the interest that surrounds the race for the Democratic nomination, and that could translate into higher turnout for Democrats in November. In 2000, the contest came down to a half dozen states, where either candidate won by a margin of less than 5% of the vote. In Florida, the election was called with a few hundred votes separating the candidates. For many of these contests, getting one more vote per precinct could be the deciding factor between a second Bush term and the end of this madness. Throw a few Nader 2000/Democrat 2004 votes into the equation, and there's plenty of reason to hope.

The danger: nominating a candidate who keeps people home on Election Day. Is Kerry up to it? Can he count on anti-Bush sentiment alone to get votes? I've got that sinking feeling...

Posted by glyphic at January 28, 2004 01:45 PM

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