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May 17, 2004
Zogby brings good news
Yet another nationwide poll shows Bush losing ground:
Bush/Kerry: 42/47
Favorable/unfavorable: 42/58
It's always good to treat polls, and Zogby polls in particular, with a bit of skepticism, but the trends revealed tend to be reliable. Disapproval has been at 53 since mid-March, and has jumped up 5 points in the last poll. Preference figures have been statistically tied with Kerry since mid-March, but has dropped below the tie in the last poll.
Most interesting is how the latest poll broke down among blue and red states:
In the Blues States, those that were won by former Vice-President Al Gore in the 2000 presidential election, Kerry receives 49.1% of support, as compared to Bush with 38.4%. In Red States Kerry and Bush are in a statistically tie with 45% a piece. The results here are reflective of a polarized and partisan electorate.
(All grammar and spelling errors original.)
Not sure I agree with the analysis. If it were truly reflective of a polarized and partisan electorate, one would expect the red states to heavily favor Bush. They don't, according to Zogby's numbers.
This administration will end.
Posted by glyphic at May 17, 2004 12:56 AM