{"id":1161,"date":"2005-05-19T16:10:45","date_gmt":"2005-05-19T23:10:45","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/?p=1161"},"modified":"2005-05-19T16:10:45","modified_gmt":"2005-05-19T23:10:45","slug":"big-blind-defense-implied-odds-and-maximizing-future-expectation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/2005\/05\/19\/big-blind-defense-implied-odds-and-maximizing-future-expectation\/","title":{"rendered":"Big Blind Defense, Implied Odds, and Maximizing Future Expectation"},"content":{"rendered":"

This post brought to you by the PokerTrackerGuide<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Two hands I won last night on Empire’s 3\/6 tables with stuff I remembered from Hank<\/a>:<\/p>\n

Party Poker 3\/6 Hold’em (10 handed) converter<\/a><\/p>\n

Preflop:<\/b> Hero is BB with 3h, Td.
\n4 folds<\/i><\/font>, MP2 calls, 1 fold<\/i><\/font>, CO raises<\/font>, 1 fold<\/i><\/font>, SB calls, Hero calls, MP2 calls.<\/p>\n

Flop:<\/b> (8 SB) 2c, Ah, 5d (4 players)<\/font>
\nSB checks, Hero checks, MP2 checks, CO bets<\/font>, SB calls, Hero calls, MP2 folds.<\/p>\n

Turn:<\/b> (5.50 BB) 4s (3 players)<\/font>
\nSB checks, Hero checks, CO bets<\/font>, SB calls, Hero raises<\/font>, CO calls, SB calls.<\/p>\n

River:<\/b> (11.50 BB) 2s (3 players)<\/font>
\nSB checks, Hero bets<\/font>, CO calls, SB calls.<\/p>\n

Final Pot:<\/b> 14.50 BB<\/p>\n

SB has Ac Th (two pair, aces and twos).
\nHero has 3h Td (straight, five high).
\nCO has Ad Kc (two pair, aces and twos).
\nOutcome: Hero wins 14.50 BB.\n<\/p><\/div>\n

No non-pair hand is that big of a dog to another non-pair hand, so defend your blind<\/a>. Getting 10:1 for my gutshot is good odds, and clearly the implied odds makes it even better.<\/p>\n

Party Poker 3\/6 Hold’em (10 handed) converter<\/a><\/p>\n

Preflop:<\/b> Hero is BB with 7h, 3s. CO posts a blind of $3.
\n1 fold<\/i><\/font>, UTG+1 calls, UTG+2 calls, 3 folds<\/i><\/font>, CO (poster) checks, 1 fold<\/i><\/font>, SB completes, Hero checks.<\/p>\n

Flop:<\/b> (5 SB) 6d, 5d, Ts (5 players)<\/font>
\nSB checks, Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, UTG+2 checks, CO bets<\/font>, SB calls, Hero calls, UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 folds.<\/p>\n

Turn:<\/b> (4 BB) 9h (3 players)<\/font>
\nSB checks, Hero checks, CO bets<\/font>, SB calls, Hero calls.<\/p>\n

River:<\/b> (7 BB) 4s (3 players)<\/font>
\nSB checks, Hero bets<\/font>, CO calls, SB folds.<\/p>\n

Final Pot:<\/b> 9 BB<\/p>\n

Hero has 7h 3s (straight, seven high).
\nCO has Ac 9c (one pair, nines).
\nOutcome: Hero wins 9 BB.\n<\/p><\/div>\n

Again, no non-pair hand is that big of a dog. While the express odds are not great for my hand, if I make my draw on the turn, I’m probably getting better than 10:1 in implied odds<\/a>. I was also counting on getting another call or two behind me (didn’t happen). If I just improve my draw, I get one more shot at making the winning hand with improved odds. <\/p>\n

Still, I’m on thin ice on this one. There are two flush cards out there, and it’s easy to go broke drawing to the sucker end of a straight, especially if someone out there has already made the better straight. The better play here might have been to check-raise the turn.<\/p>\n

It’s a thin line between relying on implied odds and being a fish. \ud83d\ude42 The beauty, though, is that showing down garbage hands like this, even in the blinds, helped me get action for my big pairs and better draws<\/a> later on.<\/p>\n

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In these two hands I probably netted 15BB. The guide costs just under 7BB. Do the math.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

This post brought to you by the PokerTrackerGuide. Two hands I won last night on Empire’s 3\/6 tables with stuff I remembered from Hank: Party Poker 3\/6 Hold’em (10 handed) converter Preflop: Hero is BB with 3h, Td. 4 folds, MP2 calls, 1 fold, CO raises, 1 fold, SB calls, Hero calls, MP2 calls. Flop: […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-poker"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/psIKy-iJ","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1161","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1161"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1161\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}