{"id":493,"date":"2004-09-11T13:12:05","date_gmt":"2004-09-11T20:12:05","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/?p=493"},"modified":"-0001-11-30T00:00:00","modified_gmt":"-0001-11-30T07:00:00","slug":"playing-the-odds-can-be-expensive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/2004\/09\/11\/playing-the-odds-can-be-expensive\/","title":{"rendered":"Playing the odds can be expensive&#8230;"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#8230;but probably worth doing:<\/p>\n<div class=\"blockquote\">Party Poker Pot-Limit Hold&#8217;em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) <a href='http:\/\/www.selachian.com\/tools\/bisonconverter\/hhconverter.cgi'>converter<\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>saw flop<\/b>|<b><font color='#C00000'>saw showdown<\/font><\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>BB ($25)<\/b><br \/><b>UTG ($10.15)<\/b><br \/>UTG+1 ($75.85)<br \/><b>MP1 ($44.65)<\/b><br \/><b><font color='#C00000'>MP2 ($10.60)<\/font><\/b><br \/><b>CO ($43.45)<\/b><br \/><b><font color='#C00000'>Hero ($15.70)<\/font><\/b><br \/><b>SB ($55.25)<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b>Preflop:<\/b> Hero is Button with 5h, 3h.    <br \/>UTG calls $0.50, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, SB completes, BB checks.<\/p>\n<p><b>Flop:<\/b> ($3.50) 6s, 4h, Qc <font color='blue'>(7 players)<\/font><br \/>SB checks, <font color='#CC3333'>BB bets $3.35<\/font>, UTG folds, MP1 calls $3.35, MP2 calls $3.35, CO folds, Hero calls $3.35, SB folds.<\/p>\n<p><b>Turn:<\/b> ($16.90) 9c <font color='blue'>(4 players)<\/font><br \/>BB checks, <font color='#CC3333'>MP1 bets $6<\/font>, MP2 calls $6, Hero calls $6, BB folds.<\/p>\n<p><b>River:<\/b> ($34.90) 2s <font color='blue'>(3 players)<\/font><br \/>MP1 checks, MP2 checks, <font color='#CC3333'>Hero bets $5.85 (All-In)<\/font>, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $0.75 (All-In).<\/p>\n<p><b>Final Pot:<\/b> $41.50<br \/><font color='green'>Main Pot: $36.40, between MP2 and Hero.<\/font> > Pot won by Hero ($36.40).<br \/><font color='green'>Pot 2: $5.10, returned to Hero.<\/font><\/p>\n<p>MP2 has Kh Qd (one pair, queens).  <br \/>Hero has 5h 3h (straight, six high).  <br \/>Outcome: Hero wins $41.50.  <\/div>\n<p>If you&#8217;re playing pot limit with a good hand and there&#8217;s some kind of draw on the board (8 or 9 or more outs), make certain that calling someone else&#8217;s bet doesn&#8217;t give someone downstream the odds to go fishing. You should raise. <\/p>\n<p>I went looking for that straight because the pot was paying 4:1 on the flop and almost 5:1 on the turn (I was also expecting BB to call and give me greater than 5:1), and there wasn&#8217;t anything very threatening on the board (like a board pair or three-flush). Needless to say, MP2 was mad about losing with top pair to a riverred straight (from the chat: &#8220;talk about fishing&#8221;). It&#8217;s his fault for not raising the turn: What some people don&#8217;t know will win you money.<\/p>\n<p>One final point: If I hadn&#8217;t gotten my straight, I would have been out $10 in one hand, and that <em>does<\/em> happen. I&#8217;m just lucky that playing the odds actually paid off.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#8230;but probably worth doing: Party Poker Pot-Limit Hold&#8217;em, $0.50 BB (8 handed) converter saw flop|saw showdown BB ($25)UTG ($10.15)UTG+1 ($75.85)MP1 ($44.65)MP2 ($10.60)CO ($43.45)Hero ($15.70)SB ($55.25) Preflop: Hero is Button with 5h, 3h. UTG calls $0.50, UTG+1 folds, MP1 calls $0.50, MP2 calls $0.50, CO calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.50, SB completes, BB checks. Flop: ($3.50) [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-493","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-poker"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/psIKy-7X","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/493","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=493"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/493\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=493"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=493"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.studioglyphic.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=493"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}