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“Your opponent cannot fold if you do not bet or raise.” –Abdul

May 31st, 2004

The most negative campaign ever

What do you do when you have no record on which to run, and no serious plans for the future? Run the most negative campaign in history, of course:

The charges [against Kerry by the Bush campaign] were all tough, serious — and wrong, or at least highly misleading. Kerry did not question the war on terrorism, has proposed repealing tax cuts only for those earning more than $200,000, supports wiretaps, has not endorsed a 50-cent gasoline tax increase in 10 years, and continues to support the education changes, albeit with modifications.

Scholars and political strategists say the ferocious Bush assault on Kerry this spring has been extraordinary, both for the volume of attacks and for the liberties the president and his campaign have taken with the facts. Though stretching the truth is hardly new in a political campaign, they say the volume of negative charges is unprecedented — both in speeches and in advertising.

Three-quarters of the ads aired by Bush’s campaign have been attacks on Kerry. Bush so far has aired 49,050 negative ads in the top 100 markets, or 75 percent of his advertising. Kerry has run 13,336 negative ads — or 27 percent of his total. The figures were compiled by The Washington Post using data from the Campaign Media Analysis Group of the top 100 U.S. markets. Both campaigns said the figures are accurate.

It’s a bit desperate and pathetic, don’t you think?

Even Republican professionals agree that the administration doesn’t have a record to run on:

Incumbent presidents often prefer to run on their records in office, juxtaposing upbeat messages with negative shots at their opponents, as Bill Clinton did in 1996.

Scott Reed, who ran Robert J. Dole’s presidential campaign that year, said the Bush campaign has little choice but to deliver a constant stream of such negative charges. With low poll numbers and a volatile situation in Iraq, Bush has more hope of tarnishing Kerry’s image than promoting his own.

“The Bush campaign is faced with the hard, true fact that they have to keep their boot on his neck and define him on their terms,” Reed said. That might risk alienating some moderate voters or depressing turnout, “but they don’t have a choice,” he said.

What’s funny about this is that a lot of the Democrats in the primary race often campaigned against Bush, and it struck me that they really needed to be campaigning for themselves first and foremost. Yet here we see the Bush campaign running against Kerry–a sign of both weakness and fear. Still, attacks need to be addressed, and so we should all keep an eye out on our local media outlets and take whatever opportunities we can to blunt the Bush campaign’s negative tactics.

May 30th, 2004

Bruce Sterling takes on the Bush administration

Wired columnist Bruce Sterling usually doesn’t write about politics, but when politics starts fucking around with science in a big way, I guess he gets mad:

Suicide by Pseudoscience

When politicians dictate science, government becomes entangled in its own deceptions, and eventually the social order decays in a compost of lies. Society, having abandoned the scientific method, loses its empirical referent, and truth becomes relative. This is a serious affliction known as Lysenkoism.

Trofim Lysenko was Joseph Stalin’s top stooge in Soviet agricultural science, a field that was mercilessly politicized by fanatics. His specialty was inventing nutty schemes - things like stimulating the evolution of trees by overcrowding them to get them to cooperate, as though they were communist minions. This totalitarian huckster spent his whole career promising exciting results and bringing about only disaster. But the party never judged itself on results, so he always got a free pass.

Politics without objective, honest measurement of results is a deadly short circuit. It means living a life of sterile claptrap, lacquering over failure after intellectual failure with thickening layers of partisan abuse. Charlatans like Lysenko can’t clarify serious, grown-up problems that they themselves don’t understand.

And here’s a bit from the Union of Concerned Scientists’ page on Restoring Scientific Integrity:

Across a broad range of issues—from childhood lead poisoning and mercury emissions to climate change, reproductive health, and nuclear weapons—the administration is distorting and censoring scientific findings that contradict its policies; manipulating the underlying science to align results with predetermined political decisions; and undermining the independence of science advisory panels by subjecting panel nominees to political litmus tests that have little or no bearing on their expertise; nominating non-experts or underqualified individuals from outside the scientific mainstream or with industry ties; as well as disbanding science advisory committees altogether.

Once again, this administration has to go.

May 30th, 2004

Tom Schaller, Daily Kos, and the conservative lines on Kerry

You can count on Kos and the Kossacks to shovel through the shit and find the truth:

Daily Kos || Quick Quiz

Which of the following three claims are true?

  1. John Kerry is one of the if not the most consistently liberal Senators, even more consistently liberal than (nasty music here) Hillary Clinton and Ted Kennedy.
  2. John Kerry is a major flip-flopper who changes his positions 180 degrees faster than the Car Talk hosts can change a flat tire.
  3. I dunno about Nos. 1 or 2, but I do know that they both can’t be true.

Answer, of course: #3.

Good point.

May 30th, 2004

Toyota’s Hybrid Supercar: Alessandro Volta

How far could hybrid technology take us? 435 miles on 13.7 gallons. 0-60 in 4 seconds. The concept Toyota Alessandro Volta puts out 408 hp using Toyota’s 3.3L V6 and two electric motors. Designed by Italdesign:

Not the most beautiful supercar in the world, but it’s about time that something this fast and this good-looking came out using hybrid technology.

Reviews and more photos:

Auto123: Geneva Show-Goers Get Charge out of Toyota’s Volta

Automobile: Geneva 2004 - Toyota Volta by Italdesign-Guigiaro

AutoWeek: Toyota Volta concept

Ultimatecarpage: Toyota Volta (includes some interior and detail shots–watch out for the popups and interstitial ads, though)

May 30th, 2004

Jon Stewart at William and Mary’s Commencement

Damn it. We got the prime minister of Denmark or Finland (I forget which), William and Mary got Jon Stewart. Oh well.

May 28th, 2004

Final hand at the WSOP

Wow.

Raymer started as chip leader and when I “tuned in,” it was down to him and Williams. Raymer had many many times the number of chips Williams had.

Here’s the final hand:

Dealer: Starting new hand: #109
Administrator: Stand by for the next hand….
Dealer: Raymer posts the ante 10
Dealer: Williams posts the ante 10
Dealer: Williams posts small blind 40
Dealer: Raymer posts big blind 80
Dealer: Williams raises to 300
Dealer: Raymer calls 220
Dealer: Dealing Flop: [4d 2d 5s]
Dealer: Raymer checks
Dealer: Williams bets 500
Dealer: Raymer raises to 1600
Dealer: Williams calls 1100
Dealer: Dealing Turn: [2h]
Dealer: Raymer bets 2500
Administrator: David Williams calls immediately.
Dealer: Williams calls 2500
Dealer: Dealing River: [2c]
Dealer: Raymer bets 12615 and is all-in
Dealer: Williams calls 3790 and is all-in
Dealer: Raymer shows [8d 8s]
Dealer: Williams shows [Ah 4s]
Dealer: Williams mucks hand
Dealer: Raymer collected 16400 from main pot
Administrator: David Williams is eliminated in second place.
Dealer: Williams finished the tournament in 2nd place

Raymer wins $5 million. He was a PokerStars player: “Administrator: Greg won his way in through a $150 shootout right here at PokerStars!”

Expect a lot of fish to swamp PokerStars in the coming weeks.

May 28th, 2004

Mr. Excitement update: Day 1

That was quick.

After dropping off Mr. Excitement at the crack of dawn, I got a call less than two hours later saying that he was ready to be picked up.

To my surprise, he was awake; Mu was groggy when she came home. Then again, it’s a different procedure altogether for males and females.

He began meowing quite a bit on the way home and the carrier smelled of musk, so I put him in the upstairs bathroom with a fresh litter box. He immediately stumbled over to the litter box and sprayed.

When he was done, there was a clump at least six inches in diameter giving off the foulest eye-watering stench I’ve smelled in a while. My head still hurts thinking about it.

There were also drops of musky urine all over the bathroom floor. He’s staying there all night.

May 27th, 2004

Al Gore on Iraq and Abu Ghraib

Another great speech from Al Gore for MoveOn.org at NYU. For me, hearing the rightful president speak is inspiring and heartbreaking.

MoveOn has the speech available on DVD for a small contribution.

May 27th, 2004

Terrorism and the election

The Bush administration announced yesterday that there was a credible threat of terrorism against the US this summer, but made no change to the color-coded threat level.

The administration should not be surprised to find the announcement met with skepticism across the board. After three and a half years of blatant political moves and deception, the gang of 500 have little incentive to take anything at face value. So what does this announcement have to do with Bush and Kerry?

Dan Schorr sees the announcement as playing up Bush’s strength (singular, as evidenced by polls) as the situation in Iraq carries the President’s numbers downward.

Dana Priest called attention to the “election threat” aspect of the administration’s warnings in a Washington Post online chat:

Bethesda, Md.: Do you see a manipulation in the timing of the administration’s terror warnings — that they tend to come when things are going badly in Iraq or some other aspect of American politics?

Dana Priest: I’m very suspicious, especially of the “election threat” — so we didn’t write this story for a while, in order to ask a wider range of people and certainly enough non-political types to feel certain we were not being spun.

With the attacks in Spain and subsequent statements from Al Quaeda forming the “basis” for yesterday’s warning, the administration is suggesting that:

a) Terrorists may try to influence the election
b) Terrorists want Kerry to win
c) Bush would be better against terrorists

This line of reasoning is completely ridiculous. Even if we take the terrorist endorsement of Bush with a grain of salt, the fact remains that these terrorist organizations would like nothing more than an isolated United States, mired in a conflict that swells the ranks of the terrorists and increases support for terrorist actions among the citizenry. It’s clear that this administration has little comprehension of how to deal with the threat of terrorism. It’s time for them to go.

May 27th, 2004

Mr. Excitement and the knife

Perhaps to chase any doubt from my mind about getting him fixed, Mr. Excitement filled the entire house with the smell of musk this morning. It was so powerful I could smell it in my sleep. I hope he enjoyed the experience; at this time tomorrow he will be missing some vital equipment.


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