Author: glyphic

  • Weekly game results: July 29

    Another down week. I say again, I don’t even know why I play.

        This week  Cumulative
    CR    +$0.05     +$2.10
    EM    +$1.00     +$7.40
    ER    -$3.15     +$0.75
    JB    +$2.00     -$3.30
    JC    +$2.00    +$10.95
    Me    -$1.90    -$10.85
    

    JB started off losing money steadily until a run of good hands put him into the black: a flopped boat, a rivered boat, a flopped straight (I had pocket kings), and more.

    JC had his fourth consecutive positive session. He won one hand against CR when he riverred his boat: CR had made his boat on the turn with king-rag and check-raised on JC, JC called and got an ace on the river, which made his AQ good for aces full of rags. Sucks for CR, but then again, king-rag is a shitty hand to play.

    EM continued her steady play, though she tended to get lucky with her straight draws completing on the turn or river.

  • Public Service Announcement: Dealing with Spyware

    In the last few months I’ve had to deal with crazy spyware on my machine and my sister’s machine. It used to be the case that you’d get spyware on your machine by installing a program like Limewire or getting suckered into adding the Bonzi Buddy to your computer. Now visiting the wrong web page with Internet Explorer can get spyware installed without your knowing.

    Removing spyware

    If you’ve been infected, you’re in for some work. It’s like dealing with a flea infestation, without all the vacuuming.

    1. Download and install these three free programs: AdAware, Spybot Search & Destroy, HijackThis! AdAware and Spybot S&D are similar, but they each seem to cover some things that the other doesn’t, so it’s good to get the overlap. HijackThis is a very powerful and dangerous tool. Don’t mess around with HJT unless directed to do so by a guru (more on that in a bit).

    2. Use AdAware’s update function to install all available updates and run a full scan. Then allow it to fix everything it finds. There might be some things which you’ll want to keep, but if in doubt, fix it. AdAware might require you to restart your machine.

    3. Use Spybot’s update function to install all available updates and run a full scan. Be sure to select a mirror located in your country, or you may get a checksum error when downloading the update. Then allow it to fix everything it finds. There might be some things which you’ll want to keep, but if in doubt, fix it. Spybot might require you to restart your machine. Spybot also has some Internet Explorer protection features. I’ve only run into a couple issues with this one, and usually it involves watching some cartoon on the web. Since doing this kind of activity isn’t critical to my happiness, I just move on.

    4. Run a full anti-virus scan. If you have AV software, make sure the definitions are up to date. If you don’t, you can do an online scan at BitDefender or you can install AVG Anti-Virus.

    5. Run HijackThis and save the log of what it finds. Do not mark/fix anything until you’ve gone to The PC Guide Discussion Forums and posted a description of your problem, your prior actions, and the full log file. One of the experts (Budfred’s a good one) will go through your log file and give you further instructions. If you’re not comfortable with rebooting into safe mode or using a command line to delete files in your windows\system32 directory, recruit someone who is.

    That’s about it. It’s a lot of steps, and it’ll take you a few hours to do it, but for the really vicious stuff, it’s the only way.

    Preventing spyware

    There are a couple options:

    1. Don’t use Internet Explorer. The combination of insecure software and market domination makes IE the target for all kinds of hijinks. Try Mozilla instead.

    2. If you’re like me, you like using IE (for no good reason). In this case, use Windows Update to get the latest security patches for Windows and IE. Download Spybot S&D and/or SpyWare Blaster and run the protection scheme. Update your virus definitions or get AVG to protect your system.

    Good luck.

  • CCWSOP IV

    We had our fourth no limit tournament last night. Eight players, $10 buy-in with $5 rebuys available in the first two rounds. No one rebought.

    This was probably our best tournament yet, in terms of level of play and the action.

    Some highlights:

    One poor guy in UTG+1 played the hammer and flopped a boat. Unfortunately someone in SB made his boat with pocket queens when a third Hilton made an appearance on the turn. That was painful to see.

    On another hand I raised with AQo and got re-raised over the top by someone who had pocket 7s. I called and caught my ace on the flop, and another on the turn, giving me a full boat to her two pair. That turned out really nicely since she had earlier sucked out a set on the river to my paired ace, ten kicker. In fact, I think she had pocket 7s then as well.

    After that I had enough chips to push some blinds around and eventually got in the money.

    With pocket 7s in the big blind I mistakenly raised $6 against two callers. Should have figured it was a bad idea after what happened to that girl, but…. The button re-raised $10 and I went all-in to find myself against cowboys. I bounced out in third with 20% of the prize money. Serves me right.

    The heads-up play was intense. Lots of back and forth, lots of swapping of position. It lasted for at least two and a half rounds or so, and that meant that they were at it for about two hours (I think 45 minutes is way too long–but last time people complained 30 minutes was too short). There were some tough laydowns, and some crazy all-in action: 1) QJ beating AK when the board made a set on the flop and showed a queen on the river; 2) a postflop AXs flush draw beating top two pair on the river. Same guy held both losing hands. At some point pocket 7s lost again. Ugh.

    Finally, with $24 in the pot and the buzzer signaling the end of the $3-$6 blinds, the shorter stack went all-in with AJo. Bigger stack called with K6o. K6 caught a 6 on the flop and won half the prize money. Unbelievable. But after the bad beats and suckouts that happened to K6 earlier, this was his due. The poker gods eventually restore balance and +EV.

    Good times.

  • An Example of Dollar-Cost Averaging

    So I was goofing around with my own investment records when I realized that I had a great way of showing the advantage of dollar-cost averaging. As you may recall from the mutual fund primer, dollar-cost averaging lets you reduce the variance (to use a poker term) by spreading out your investment over time.

    Here’s an example using some real world numbers (Vanguard 500 Index Fund). The following are share prices at the end of every quarter for two years.

    Date        Price/Share
    6/21/2002        $91.22 
    9/27/2002        $76.37 
    12/27/2002       $80.73 
    3/28/2003        $79.69 
    6/20/2003        $91.94 
    9/26/2003        $92.08 
    12/26/2003      $101.15 
    3/26/2004       $102.30 
    

    From June 2002 – March 2003, the price/share of the fund dropped 12.64%. So if you had taken your maximum $2000 IRA contribution and stuffed into this fund in June and looked at your balance in March, you would have been pissed off.

    From June 2003 to March 2004, the fund’s price/share increased 11.27%. If you had put in $2000 in June and looked at your balance in March, you would have been pretty psyched.

    Overall, from June 2002 to March 2004, this fund saw its share value go up by +12.15%. Your $4000 investment over two years would be valued at $4468 for a gain of 11.71%.

    But what if you had practiced dollar cost averaging? That is, dividing your $2000 in fourths and investing it over the year?

    Date        Price/Share        Trans. Amt       Shares
    6/21/2002        $91.22          $500.00        5.4813
    9/27/2002        $76.37          $500.00        6.5471
    12/27/2002       $80.73          $500.00        6.1935
    3/28/2003        $79.69          $500.00        6.2743
    6/20/2003        $91.94          $500.00        5.4383
    9/26/2003        $92.08          $500.00        5.4301
    12/26/2003      $101.15          $500.00        4.9432
    3/26/2004       $102.30          $500.00        4.8876

    From June 2002 to March 2003, you would have seen a drop in the value of your investments of only -2.40% because 1/4 of your shares were purchased at the high price of $91.22, but the other 3/4 were purchased at lower prices (lower prices also translate into more shares).

    From June 2003 to March 2004, you would have seen a gain in the value of your investments of only 5.88% because at least half of your shares were purchased at higher prices.

    Overall, however, you would have seen a gain of 15.59% on your $4000 investment for a final value of $4,623.47 (remember, the lower prices enabled you to buy more shares during 2002-2003, which translated into more wealth when the fund price topped $100 in 2004).

    This demonstrates that dollar-cost averaging not only works to reduce your risk, but in this particular example, allows you to outperform the index itself!

  • What the hell is this blog all about anyway?

    A few days back, Boy Genius started to write about the blog phenomenon, and then segued into the liberal blog phenomenon, mentioning StudioGlyphic (what you’re reading) in the process:

    I was talking with Pauly on Saturday, in very general terms about, to borrow a phrase, the viral phenomenon of blogs.

    Pauly’s line, one that I feel is apt, is that “blogs are the new tattoos.” Everybody is going to have one, or already does.

    Viral, actually, is a terrific adjective to describe blogs, as the Howard Dean campaign proved early on. For better or for worse, Dean’s supporters utilized blogs to at once rally and corral the troops.

    I mention the “for worse” part because what this marketing strategy has wrought is the political regurgitation blog. No offense to Phil at Studio Glyphic, because I wouldn’t read him if he didn’t have interesting content besides the various links and quotes, but what has grown weary and tiresome in the blogosphere is the link-it-and-leave liberal blog (frankly, I haven’t come across a conservative blog, although I’m sure they’re out there too). Link to an op-ed piece from an unabashedly liberal outlet, quote the first two paragraphs, and that’s it. Congratulations, you now have “content.”

    Ha ha, guilty as charged.

    In my defense, I guess the number one reason for this blog is to keep a personal historical record. So years from now I can read back through some of these entries and know that during the WSOP 2004, my cat got neutered. That two days after I learned about Toyota’s hybrid supercar concept vehicle, the cutest member of Congress got elected. That George Tenet resigned as the head of the CIA around the time that I got back onto Empire to play online poker. I think the juxtaposition of the personal and public helps keep both in context. Why it’s important, I don’t know, but I’m a strong believer in context.

    Which is why the quote/link post (in moderation) is okay with me.

    At the same time, there have been times before I started this blog that I wrote things in email that I would have liked to have saved, or somehow put up for permanent display. More often than not, it was just good information, and not necessarily great writing. For instance, now that I have my Mutual Fund Primer on my blog, I can just point people to that and have them read it so that they can get some really basic background on using a mutual fund to save for retirement.

    I also like to bloviate about how things should be.

    Maybe this is the stuff Boy Genius refers to as the “interesting content.” Who knows? The interesting content I want to see on BG’s site is his hot neighbor. One of these days he’s got to take a shot of her so that the poker blog reading world can commiserate with him on his bad fortune.

    At any rate, yesterday was the one year anniversary of this blog. With 809 posts, I’ve managed to post +2.2BP/day (that’s blog posts, mind you).

    Craziness.

    Happy anniversary.